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How to Identify and Develop Future Leaders Before They're Ready

Founder of ManagerForge33+ years of management experience. 3,000+ interviews across his career, including 1,250+ at Amazon.

Published April 20, 2026·8 min read

The managers who build the best teams aren't just good at hiring. They're good at seeing potential before it's obvious and doing the work to turn that potential into results.

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Most managers wait for someone to prove they're ready before investing in them. That's backwards.

By the time it's obvious someone is ready for more, you've already lost six months of development time. The best leaders I've worked with were identified early, stretched deliberately, and advocated for loudly. And the managers who did that work? They became magnets for top talent because word gets out: this person grows people.

Here's how to actually do it.

The Signals I Look For in 1:1s

Your 1:1s are the most underused development tool you have. Most managers use them to get status updates. Future-leader managers use them to watch how someone thinks.

I'm listening for three things.

First: do they bring problems with context or just problems? Anyone can surface an issue. Future leaders show up with "here's what broke, here's why I think it broke, and here's what I'm considering doing about it." That instinct to own the full picture, not just the complaint, is a leadership signal.

Second: how do they talk about other people? Do they throw teammates under the bus when explaining why something went wrong? Or do they say "we didn't execute well on that" even when it clearly wasn't their fault? The ones who protect the team, even in private, have the character to lead.

Third: do they ask questions about the business that go beyond their role? When someone asks you why the company made a particular decision, or what the strategy is behind a new initiative, that's not nosiness. That's someone who's already thinking at the next level.

These are the people I flag early. I make a note, I watch the pattern, and I start talking about them with my peers.

The Stretch Assignment: How to Do It Without Burning People Out

Stretch assignments get talked about like they're automatically good. They're not. A poorly designed stretch assignment either bores someone who's already past it or breaks someone who wasn't ready. The goal is to put someone in a situation slightly beyond their current reach and then stand close enough to catch them if they fall.

Here's the framework I use. I ask: what's the hardest thing about the next level that this person hasn't had to do yet? Usually it's one of three things: managing ambiguity, leading other people through conflict, or making a decision with incomplete data. I build the assignment around whichever of those gaps is biggest.

For example: I had a senior individual contributor who was technically excellent but had never had to hold a position under pressure from leadership. She'd give her recommendation and then fold the moment someone pushed back. Classic confidence gap. So I gave her a project where she had to present a build-vs-buy decision to a VP and defend it through a 45-minute Q&A. I prepped her for two weeks. I role-played the hard questions with her. And then I let her run it.

She held her position. The VP respected it. She got promoted four months later.

The stretch has to be real. It can't be a "here's a low-stakes side project." The risk has to be real enough that success means something.

Getting Your People in Front of the Right People

This is where most managers fail their high-potential people. They develop them in private and then wonder why leadership doesn't see what they see.

Visibility is a strategy. You have to be intentional about it.

When I had a strong person I wanted to advance, I would look for every legitimate reason to get them in front of senior leadership. Not to showboat them. To give them at-bats. I'd bring them to a skip-level meeting and let them run part of the agenda. I'd have them present the team's quarterly results instead of presenting it myself. I'd send them to represent the team in a cross-functional working group and brief my own manager on what they were doing there.

I also talked about them directly. When my manager asked me how things were going with the team, I'd say "I want to tell you about Sarah. Here's what she did last month, and here's what I think she's capable of." I made it a habit to mention my high-potential people in conversations where promotions and projects were discussed. If you're not advocating in the room when the doors are closed and your people aren't there, nobody is.

One thing I learned from five years conducting Bar Raiser interviews at Amazon: calibration happens in rooms full of senior people making judgments quickly. If your person is unknown to that room, they're at a disadvantage from the start. Visibility before the opportunity is how you fix that.

The Honest Promotion Conversation

Here's one that makes most managers uncomfortable: telling someone they're not ready yet.

I've seen managers avoid this conversation because they don't want to disappoint someone. What happens instead is the person assumes they're on track, the promotion doesn't come, and they either leave or lose trust in you completely.

The honest conversation sounds like this: "You've got real leadership potential and I'm actively investing in you. Here's what ready looks like from where I sit. Here are the two or three things I need to see from you before I can make that case to the business. Let's work on those specifically."

That's not a discouraging conversation. That's a clarifying one. People can work with clarity. They can't work with vague reassurance.

The flip side is setting honest expectations about timeline and process. Promotions don't happen just because someone is ready. There has to be a role, there has to be business need, and there has to be organizational will. I've had to tell strong people: "You're ready. The opportunity isn't here right now. Here's what I'm doing to change that, and here's what your options are if the timeline doesn't work for you." That kind of honesty builds trust even when the message is hard.

What Happens When You Don't Do This Work

I've watched this play out too many times. A manager has a strong senior IC who's been doing more than their role requires for 18 months. A manager role opens up. Leadership hires externally because, in their minds, there's no internal candidate who's been "developed" for it.

The senior IC quits within six months. Two other strong performers on the team follow them. And the new external hire spends a year rebuilding trust with a demoralized team.

The cost of that failure is enormous. And it was entirely preventable. Not by having the right person in the right place by accident, but by doing the development work that makes the internal candidate undeniable.

Start With One Person

You don't have to have a whole program. You don't need a formal framework. You need one person you believe in, one honest conversation about what the next level looks like, and one real stretch assignment in the next 90 days.

That's it. Start there.

The managers who built the strongest teams I've ever seen weren't necessarily the smartest people in the building. But they were relentless about finding people with potential and doing the unglamorous, patient work of turning that potential into something real.

That's the job.

© 2026 David Liloia. Published under ManagerForge.

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